Currency Risks and Negative Margins May Hinder Airtel Africa’s Growth in 2025

Shade Adeyemi

ByShade Adeyemi

January 16, 2025

Airtel Africa is navigating stormy waters as it enters 2025, with its financial strategy under scrutiny for failing to address systemic inefficiencies. Once a hallmark of operational resilience, the telecom giant now faces challenges stemming from poor revenue management and escalating costs. These issues, coupled with economic volatility and competitive pressures, threaten its ability to maintain profitability.

Revenue Management Falling Short

Airtel Africa’s revenue streams—comprising voice, data, and mobile money services—have grown year-on-year. Yet, the company struggles to optimize these gains effectively. Despite the rapid adoption of mobile money platforms, inconsistent pricing strategies and limited service penetration in key regions have left substantial potential revenue untapped. Furthermore, aggressive subscriber acquisition campaigns have inflated marketing costs, eating into profits.

Weak internal controls on revenue allocation have also raised concerns. Airtel Africa’s mobile money division, one of its most promising revenue drivers, has not been leveraged adequately to counterbalance stagnating profits in other areas. A disconnect between operational growth and financial efficiency continues to hurt its bottom line.

Poor Cost Control Erodes Margins

Airtel Africa’s inability to implement meaningful cost-cutting measures is another critical issue. Rising inflation across its core markets, including Nigeria, has driven up operational expenses such as energy costs, equipment imports, and regulatory fees. With Nigeria’s inflation reaching 34.6% in November 2024, these expenses show no signs of easing​.

The company’s infrastructure upgrades, including 4G and 5G rollouts, are essential for competitiveness but have strained cash flow. Regulatory compliance, including spectrum licensing costs, has added another layer of financial pressure. Additionally, Airtel’s reliance on legacy systems in some regions hampers operational efficiency, leading to higher-than-necessary maintenance costs.

Economic and Currency Headwinds

Operating in multiple African nations, Airtel Africa is exposed to significant currency volatility. The depreciation of the naira and other regional currencies against the dollar has escalated debt servicing costs, especially for foreign-denominated loans​​. The company’s strategy to manage currency risks through financial hedging has proved insufficient in offsetting these losses.

Currency volatility has also impacted the company’s ability to reinvest in key growth areas. Without effective risk mitigation strategies, Airtel Africa risks further erosion of its competitive edge.

Lack of Strategic Innovation

In a fast-evolving telecom market, Airtel Africa’s lack of significant innovation has been a weak point. Competitors have invested in automation, infrastructure-sharing, and data-driven operational strategies, reducing costs while improving service quality. In contrast, Airtel’s slower adoption of such technologies has left it struggling to keep pace.

Even in the promising mobile money space, Airtel’s inability to scale operations and integrate seamlessly across its network has limited its impact. The recent Payment Service Bank (PSB) license in Nigeria remains underutilized, highlighting the disconnect between strategic goals and execution​​.

Path to Recovery

For Airtel Africa to reclaim its growth momentum, decisive action is required. Streamlining revenue management systems, adopting advanced technologies for operational efficiency, and renegotiating regulatory frameworks could offer much-needed relief. The company must also reassess its pricing strategies to better align with market realities and enhance customer retention.

Mobile money remains Airtel’s most promising growth lever. By scaling services and integrating them into daily transactions across Africa, the company can create a sustainable revenue stream that cushions against telecom-specific pressures.

Shade Adeyemi

ByShade Adeyemi

Shade Adeyemi is a dedicated financial literacy educator and content creator. With a mission to demystify personal finance, Shade writes about budgeting, saving, and investing, empowering readers to take control of their financial future.

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